The sports collectible market experienced a notable downturn in 2023, as reported by Altan Insights, a company that monitors sales across various collectible markets. Using data from Card Ladder, Altan Insights observed a downward trend that began about 18 months ago, continuing through 2023.
Their analysis showed that sales for ultra-modern cards, those issued from 2009 to the present, plummeted by 34.8% from the previous year. Modern cards, defined as those from 1984 to 2008, also saw a decrease in sales, dropping by 30.8%. While vintage cards also experienced a decline in overall sales, they fared somewhat better than their modern and ultra-modern counterparts.
The fourth quarter of 2023 saw vintage and pre-war cards outperforming modern and ultra-modern ones, thus widening their advantage in the collectible market for the year, as noted in Altan’s report.
Specifically, the segments of football, soccer, racing, and basketball cards witnessed the most substantial price declines. The report pointed out that football, especially high-end cards of quarterbacks, both young and veteran, failed to recover their value, with injuries to popular quarterbacks in the latter half of the season exacerbating the situation.
Altan also highlighted a considerable dip in the top 50 sales at most auction houses from 2022 to 2023. Interestingly, the decline was less pronounced in the next tier of sales, suggesting a slightly stronger demand in the mid-range market segment.
Key findings from their comprehensive 41-page report on the fourth quarter and the year 2023 as a whole include:
– A 40% year-over-year and 27% quarter-over-quarter drop in the number of six-figure auction sales in Q4, marking the lowest total in the past three years.
– In 2023, there were eleven recorded sales of baseball items exceeding $1 million, with eight involving cards or memorabilia of Babe Ruth and Mickey Mantle, spread across five different auction houses.
– A stark contrast from 2022, where there were twelve seven-figure basketball card sales, while in 2023, there were none. Altan noted a disappearance in the demand for modern patch cards at high price points, which did not return throughout the year.
– The list of top-selling cards of currently active basketball players on eBay in the last four months of 2023 featured LeBron James, Victor Wembanyama, Steph Curry, Luka Doncic, and Giannis Antetokounmpo.
– The market for LeBron James and Steph Curry cards across all platforms dipped by over 40% last year, whereas Michael Jordan and Kobe Bryant cards remained relatively stable.
– Notably, Jordan cards from the late 1990s accounted for five of the top ten Jordan card sales in the fourth quarter, including three of the top five.
– While the market for game-worn and game-used memorabilia showed only modest growth from the previous year, the top 25 and top 50 sales in this category in 2023 were more than double the levels achieved in 2021.
This report by Altan Insights paints a comprehensive picture of the shifting dynamics in the sports collectible market, highlighting the fluctuations in different segments and the evolving interests of collectors and investors in this domain. Despite the overall decline in sales, vintage and pre-war cards managed to maintain their advantage over modern and ultra-modern cards, suggesting that traditional collectibles still hold strong appeal in the market.
